Communicating our results at ASM 2024

Suitability dynamics for Hantaviruses and their hosts in Panama

Long-term consensus suitability

Hantaviruses are RNA viruses associated with rodents and other mammals that cause human disease, with mortality rates of 12-60%. In the early 2000s, an outbreak of Choclo hantavirus in humans occurred on the Azuero Peninsula of Panama. Long-term surveys identified Oligoryzomys coastaricensis, the Costa Rican pygmy rice rat, and Zygodontomys brevicauda, the short-tailed cane mouse, as the primary reservoir hosts of hantaviruses in Panama (Choclo and Calabazo hantavirus strains, respectively). At ASM 2024, we are presenting the results of a project that used specimen and pathogen test-result data to model the ecological niches of these hantaviruses and their hosts, and explore suitability for these taxa at monthly bases (2000-2018).


Suitability dynamics

Below you can find a GIF animation that shows dynamic suitability landscapes for Oligoryzomys coastaricensis. This animation shows monthly predictions of suitability 2000-2018.


If you are at ASM on June 10th, come and check the presentations of Danny (11:15 AM) and Alex (11:30 AM), and Jocelyn poster on June 10th at 2:30-5:30 PM.

GIF animations for the other species are available at our project GH repository.


Marlon E. Cobos
Marlon E. Cobos
Postdoctoral Fellow

My research interests include disease ecology and biogeography, and methods and tools for predictive modeling.